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Forecasting the Labour Market

01.03.2018 to 03.03.2018




Thursday 1st March



Welcome coffee


Welcome and opening remarks

        Denis VASILYEV, Deputy Head Of Federal Service for Labour and Employment (Rostrud), the Russian Federation





   Words of Cafer UZUNKAYA, Director General of Turkish Employment Agency (İŞKUR),  President of WAPES, Turkey (Read By Françoise KUYL,Executive Secretary of WAPES)







Opening plenary session


The Tomorrow’s Labour Market


Michael MWASIKAKATA, Senior Specialist and Coordinator, Employment Services and ALMPs, ILO





Dmitri CHERNEYKO, Chairman, Committee for Labour and Employment of Saint Petersburg, Russian Federation




Valentin TIMAKOV, Director General, Human Capital Development Agency, Far East, Russian Federation






How to Carry out Labour Market Forecasting


Moderator: Christine MALECKA, Senior Consultant, WAPES




        Vlada BOGDANOVA, Junior Partner, McKinsey & Company, Russian Federation



Sally SINCLAIR, CEO, National Employment Services Association, Australia



François AVENTUR, Assistant director of Studies, Statistics and Evaluations, Pôle emploi, France



Karin BERGLIND, Head of Unit, Department of Analysis ofArbetsförmedlingen, Sweden



DISCUSSION (15 min.)





Prospective and Disappearing Professions


Moderator: Christine MALECKA, Senior Consultant, WAPES




Jean-Claude CHALON, Director of the labour market monitoring, analysis and forecasting service, le FOREM, Belgium





Ekaterina UKHOVA, Team Leader in the field of efficiency management and staff motivation in CIS countries, Ernst & Young, Russian Federation





Anton ECKERSLEY, Director of International Relations, Ingeus, UK.



DISCUSSION (15 min.)



Coffee break



Interactions Between Education, Employers and Public Employment Services as a Key Factor for an Efficient LMI Process


Moderator:Daria AKHUTINA, Senior Adviser, Council of the Baltic Sea States


Vlada BOGDANOVA, Junior Partner, McKinsey & Company, Russian Federation


Tjaša ŽAKELJ, Assistant, Short-term Labour Market Forecast, Employment Service of Slovenia, Slovenia




Lieu NGO XUAN, Director of Bureau of Employment, Ministry of Labour - Invalids and Social Affairs (MOLISA), Vietnam




DISCUSSION (15 min.)





Closing remarks


Denis VASILYEV, Deputy Head Of Federal Service for Labour and Employment (ROSTRUD), Russian Federation




Françoise KUYL, Executive Secretary of WAPES




End of the day






In the context of constant social, economic and political changes and due to vast extension of information and communication technologies labour market forecasting becomes a foundation for providing guaranteed employment to the population. Adequate approach to forecasting the situation on a labour market allows the experts to estimate the current situation in supply and demand of the workforce, predict potential number and composition of unemployed population who will look for a job in foreseeable future and become clients of Public Employment Services, carry out smart distribution of the workforce presented on a labour market, define the amount of necessary training and retraining for redundant workers and unemployed in accordance with the needs of the labour market. All mentioned above will automatically provide enterprises with qualified workers in accordance with their demands and lead to more efficient use of manpower in the country.


Effective labour market forecasting permits to estimate the amount of finance that is to be allocated for implementation of programmes in the employment sphere, to set the priorities in the employment policy for forecasting period, to develop measures aimed at prevention of large scale unemployment and provide social guarantees to population.


At the same time, the process of making such forecasts is a complex methodological task. Forecasting of the labour market covers both the macro-level indicators (total number of jobs, average wages, available manpower) and micro-level indicators (demand for specific professions in specific regions and municipalities). The preparation of quality forecast requires solution of a number of challenges, including the allocation of specialized institution responsible for preparing such forecasts, determination of it official status and the role in the system of labour market public policy, the selection of methodology and information platforms used in preparing the forecast.


The conference will become a platform for sharing experiences, opinions and best practices on existing practices and methods in the sphere of labour market research and forecasting, on organisation of interinstitutional interaction at all levels, on interaction with the organisations involved in the labour market issues; tell about the results of work and obstacles emerging underway.


The conference will be held within the framework of the II St. Petersburg International Labour Forum. The Forum is organized under the support of the Government of the Russian Federation by the Government of St. Petersburg and St. Petersburg State University. The main topic of the Forum is “Labor of the Future: Talents, Technologies, Art” and it aims to become the largest discussion area in the country dedicated to the issues of the human capital development, presentation of the results of the latest advanced researches, global best practices and experiences.


Leading scientists, experts and practitioners will discuss ways of attracting and developing the young talents, advanced technologies of the production activity automatization, digitalization and robotization. They also will determine the qualitative changes of the nature and of the labour content.


In accordance with a main topic the Forum program will include the issues of social partnership, decent and safe labor, migration and labor market globalization and also business HR-technologies, issues of staffing and management of the public enterprises and organizations and mixed ownership companies.

The participants of WAPES conference will have the opportunity to participate in the work of the Forum and share their knowledge and best practices.


Saint Petersburg