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Forecasting the Labour Market

01.03.2018 to 03.03.2018




Thursday 1st March



Welcome coffee


Welcome and opening remarks

        Denis VASILYEV, Deputy Head Of Federal Service for Labour and Employment (Rostrud), the Russian Federation





   Words of Cafer UZUNKAYA, Director General of Turkish Employment Agency (İŞKUR),  President of WAPES, Turkey (Read By Françoise KUYL,Executive Secretary of WAPES)







Opening plenary session


The Tomorrow’s Labour Market


Michael MWASIKAKATA, Senior Specialist and Coordinator, Employment Services and ALMPs, ILO





Dmitri CHERNEYKO, Chairman, Committee for Labour and Employment of Saint Petersburg, Russian Federation




Valentin TIMAKOV, Director General, Human Capital Development Agency, Far East, Russian Federation






How to Carry out Labour Market Forecasting


Moderator: Christine MALECKA, Senior Consultant, WAPES




        Vlada BOGDANOVA, Junior Partner, McKinsey & Company, Russian Federation



Sally SINCLAIR, CEO, National Employment Services Association, Australia



François AVENTUR, Assistant director of Studies, Statistics and Evaluations, Pôle emploi, France



Karin BERGLIND, Head of Unit, Department of Analysis ofArbetsförmedlingen, Sweden



DISCUSSION (15 min.)





Prospective and Disappearing Professions


Moderator: Christine MALECKA, Senior Consultant, WAPES




Jean-Claude CHALON, Director of the labour market monitoring, analysis and forecasting service, le FOREM, Belgium





Ekaterina UKHOVA, Team Leader in the field of efficiency management and staff motivation in CIS countries, Ernst & Young, Russian Federation





Anton ECKERSLEY, Director of International Relations, Ingeus, UK.



DISCUSSION (15 min.)



Coffee break



Interactions Between Education, Employers and Public Employment Services as a Key Factor for an Efficient LMI Process


Moderator:Daria AKHUTINA, Senior Adviser, Council of the Baltic Sea States


Vlada BOGDANOVA, Junior Partner, McKinsey & Company, Russian Federation


Tjaša ŽAKELJ, Assistant, Short-term Labour Market Forecast, Employment Service of Slovenia, Slovenia




Lieu NGO XUAN, Director of Bureau of Employment, Ministry of Labour - Invalids and Social Affairs (MOLISA), Vietnam




DISCUSSION (15 min.)





Closing remarks


Denis VASILYEV, Deputy Head Of Federal Service for Labour and Employment (ROSTRUD), Russian Federation




Françoise KUYL, Executive Secretary of WAPES




End of the day






In the context of constant social, economic and political changes and due to the vast extension of information and communication technologies, labour market forecasting becomes a foundation for providing guaranteed employment to the population. Adequate approach to forecasting the situation on a labour market allows the experts to estimate the current situation in supply and demand of the workforce, predict potential number and composition of unemployed population who will look for a job in foreseeable future and become clients of Public Employment Services, carry out smart distribution of the workforce present on a specific labour market, define the amount of necessary training and retraining for redundant workers and unemployed in accordance with the needs of the labour market. Everything mentioned above will automatically provide enterprises with qualified workers in accordance with their demands and lead to more efficient use of manpower in the country.


Effective labour market forecasting helps estimate the amounts needed to implement programmes in the employment sphere, set the priorities in the employment policy for forecasting period, develop measures aiming to prevent large scale unemployment and provide social guarantees to population.


At the same time, the process of making such forecasts is a complex methodological task. Forecasting of the labour market covers both the macro-level indicators (total number of jobs, average wages, available manpower) and micro-level indicators (demand for specific professions in specific regions and municipalities). The preparation of quality forecast requires solutions for a number of challenges, including the allocation of specialized institutions responsible for preparing such forecasts, the determination of its official status and its role in the system of labour market public policy, as well as the selection of methodology and information platforms used in preparing the forecast.


The conference will become a platform for sharing experiences, opinions and best practices on existing practices and methods in the sphere of labour market research and forecasting, on organisation of interinstitutional interaction at all levels, and on interaction with the organisations involved in the labour market issues. It will also give the opportunity to discuss the results of work and the obstacles that might emerge.


The conference will be held within the framework of the 2nd St. Petersburg International Labour Forum. The Forum is organized by the Government of St. Petersburg and the St. Petersburg State University, with the support of the Government of the Russian Federation. The main topic of the Forum is “Labor of the Future: Talents, Technologies, Art” and it aims to become the largest discussion in the country on the issue of human capital development, with the presentation of the results of the latest advanced research, global best practices and experiences.


Leading scientists, experts and practitioners will discuss ways of attracting and developing young talents, on the one hand, and advanced technologies for the  automatization, digitalization and robotization of production activities. They also will determine the qualitative changes in the nature and content of labour.


In accordance with the main topic of the Forum, the agenda will include the issues of social partnership, decent and safe labour, migration, labour market globalization, as well as issues related to staffing and managing the public enterprises, organizations and mixed ownership companies.

Those participating to WAPES conference will have the opportunity to take part in the work of the Forum and share their knowledge and best practices.


Saint Petersburg